Description
贝叶斯定理 Bayes' theorem 被誉为统计学的勾股定理，是一种用似然概率更新先验概率的工具，它深刻地参与了现代世界的构造，却往往作出有悖于我们直觉的姿态。通过几个故事，或许你可以直观地体会贝叶斯定理的魅力，并尝试用它构建一个更有力的认识论框架。1. 贝叶斯定理2. 蒙提霍尔问题：固执己见的胜率
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