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查理·芒格的第二个原则：告别从众的愚蠢。经济学家凯恩斯将投机形容成，预测市场心理的活动.也就是说，投机者只需要揣摩，其他参与者在想些什么，预判他们的预判。但从长期结果来看，投机者的业绩都很惨淡，再加上交易费用、税款这些成本，那就更惨了。因为这个方法有个巨大的风险，时不时就会跑出来坑人。
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