Description
一个模型是个好模型，如果1.它是优雅的。2.它包含很少任意或者可调整的元素。3.它和全部已有的观测一致并能解释。 4.它对将来的观测做详细的预言，如果这些预言不成立，观测就能证伪这个模型。
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