这篇文章主要讨论了地球系统的“行星边界”框架，并利用综合模型评估全球环境（IMAGE）来预测未来发展路径。文章指出，人类活动已经危及地球稳定，当前趋势和政策下，到2050年，除臭氧耗竭外，所有行星边界的状况都将恶化。研究强调，有针对性的干预措施，如实施《巴黎气候协定》、向健康饮食转变、提高食物和水利用效率等，能有效减少对行星边界的逾越。然而，即使采取这些措施，气候变化、生物地球化学循环和生物多样性等边界到2050年仍可能被突破，这表明需要更有效的政策来实现地球系统内的可持续生活。References: van Vuuren D P, Doelman J C, Schmidt Tagomori I, et al. Exploring pathways for world development within planetary boundaries[J]. Nature, 2025: 1-7.
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