俄乌冲突仍未结束,军费持续燃烧且饱受西方制裁的俄罗斯的经济却表现出了超预期的韧性,甚至制造业相比冲突开始前还有了进一步发展,这一期,我们带大家来看看,这种反直觉的现象到底是如何发生的,同时,俄罗斯经济在战时的发展也给我们带来了一些对于战争新的认识。本期主播:活在裆下、老饕本期内容:01:19 普京以压倒性优势连任,俄罗斯经济超全球预期06:45 互联网对于俄罗斯经济发展原因的推测之一:能源涨价09:07 推测之二:大国输血16:41 推测之三:财富掠夺17:25 经济增长真正原因:军工拉动工业部门投资20:32 制造业劳动力需求增长叠加征兵,失业率显著降低23:21 军事凯恩斯主义26:17 当前俄罗斯的经济模式能否持续?27:15 战前俄罗斯经济结构畸形,社会财富集中于能源部门28:46 战争带来转变,海外资金回流本土制造业33:42 查尔斯·蒂利的理论:战争造就国家35:50 外部国家的巨大压力推动变革:以战国时期为例38:16 战争激发民族主义觉醒本期音乐:《1812 Overture Op. 49》 --- Pyotr Ilyich Tchaikovsky《如歌的行板》 --- Pyotr Ilyich Tchaikovsky本期推荐书籍:《强制、资本和欧洲国家》 查尔斯·蒂利 著《孙子兵法·作战篇》 孙武 著本期文稿后续将发布在微信公众号:虚实之间True Imagination节目微博:虚实de老饕
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