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量化好声音

09 经济周期解密:藏在数据里的齿轮

14 Jul 2025

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经济周期真的有规律可循吗?华泰证券金工团队用硬核数据告诉你答案!从 42 个月的基钦周期,到 100 个月的朱格拉周期,再到 200 个月的库兹涅茨周期,这些藏在经济数据里的 “隐形齿轮”,如何驱动资产价格轮动?报告通过频谱分析、小波变换等量化工具,验证了全球金融经济系统存在稳定周期,就像大自然的四季更迭。更有趣的是,A 股短期牛熊由基钦周期主导,板块轮动暗藏 “消费→成长→价值→周期” 的密码。想知道如何用 “宏观 + 中观 + 微观” 框架捕捉周期机会?来听这场严谨又烧脑的周期探秘,让数据告诉你:跟着周期节奏投资,原来这么有章法!

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