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27 A股狂飙!指数高估or低估?4000点有可能吗?

27 Aug 2025

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上证指数飙至 3883.56 点创 10 年新高,深证成指、创业板指涨幅超 2%,成交破 3 万亿元,连东方财富的上证 PE 百分位数都因热度溢出显示 NA,乐观情绪拉满。去年 9 月我们用 PE 分位数预判 A 股低估,月底果然大涨;如今再用同款方法测 PE,结果又如何呢?巴菲特指标计算数值为 88%,超 60%-80% 合理区间,那么问题来了:这能说明A股高估了吗?当前 A 股是真高估,还是虚火?上证到底能不能摸到 4000 点?【在这⾥找到我们】公众号:Quantide 量化⻛云⼩红书:Quantide哔哩哔哩:Quantidewechat:quantfan_100

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