生活中每天都需要做判斷, 但相同的事對應到不同的人, 所做出的判斷有時會大不相同, 甚至是同一個人、同一件事 但前後二次的結果就彼此南轅北轍。 作者舉出大多是因為過程中 受到偏誤及雜訊的影響產生差異。 偏誤通常是較具體可以解釋的錯誤, 但是雜訊則因為不具體, 無法被輕易觀察,也就容易被忽略。 為了避免過多雜訊造成判斷錯誤, 作者提出了決策保健的策略, 也就是把判斷結構化, 用分解、獨立性,以及延遲 做出整體判斷的三個原則 來做出每一次的判斷, 更重要的,是以開放心態 聽取週遭各種不同意見, 再總合多數意見 做出對個人或團體的最佳判斷。 【雜訊】 金石堂網路書店 👉 https://dks.tw/tqr 金石堂門市查詢 🏠 https://dks.tw/ea5 Powered by Firstory Hosting
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