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Abhishek Mahajan (narrator / author)

šŸ‘¤ Speaker
311 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
ā€œEndometriosis is an incredibly interesting diseaseā€ by Abhishaike Mahajan

Patients often present with debilitating pain, irregular bleeding, gastrointestinal symptoms, and infertility.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
ā€œEndometriosis is an incredibly interesting diseaseā€ by Abhishaike Mahajan

But diagnosing endometriosis is difficult, the gold standard for it being an invasive and expensive procedure that requires general anesthesia.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
ā€œEndometriosis is an incredibly interesting diseaseā€ by Abhishaike Mahajan

Laparoscopic Surgery

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
ā€œEndometriosis is an incredibly interesting diseaseā€ by Abhishaike Mahajan

While non-invasive imaging, like ultrasound or MRI, can sometimes detect large lesions, many forms of endometriosis, particularly superficial or deep infiltrating types, are not easily visible this way.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
ā€œEndometriosis is an incredibly interesting diseaseā€ by Abhishaike Mahajan

As a result, a patient must often endure years of symptoms before someone is willing to escalate their care to diagnostic surgery.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
ā€œEndometriosis is an incredibly interesting diseaseā€ by Abhishaike Mahajan

Because of this, it feels deeply likely that many endometriosis cases simply never enter official registries, making the total burden likely massively undercounted in global DALY calculations.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
ā€œEndometriosis is an incredibly interesting diseaseā€ by Abhishaike Mahajan

Notably, this is unlike most other diseases, even historically underfunded ones, which typically have clear diagnostic criteria that can be confirmed through inexpensive blood tests, imaging, or clinical presentation alone.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
ā€œEndometriosis is an incredibly interesting diseaseā€ by Abhishaike Mahajan

For example, COPD can be easily diagnosed via spirometry.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
ā€œEndometriosis is an incredibly interesting diseaseā€ by Abhishaike Mahajan

Just blow into a tube.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
ā€œEndometriosis is an incredibly interesting diseaseā€ by Abhishaike Mahajan

Given this, how should we update our dollars?

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
ā€œEndometriosis is an incredibly interesting diseaseā€ by Abhishaike Mahajan

DALY's ratio for endometriosis?

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
ā€œEndometriosis is an incredibly interesting diseaseā€ by Abhishaike Mahajan

One way would be to ask the question, how many cases of endometriosis are currently undiagnosed?

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
ā€œEndometriosis is an incredibly interesting diseaseā€ by Abhishaike Mahajan

A 2014 study answers this question, albeit limited to a specific region in Italy, by actively searching for endometriosis in a sample of 2,000 premenopausal women who had visited a GP for non-gynecological reasons.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
ā€œEndometriosis is an incredibly interesting diseaseā€ by Abhishaike Mahajan

Of these, 28 had already been diagnosed with endometriosis.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
ā€œEndometriosis is an incredibly interesting diseaseā€ by Abhishaike Mahajan

Using a symptom-based questionnaire and surgical follow-up, the authors discover 37 more cases amongst the 2,000 women.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
ā€œEndometriosis is an incredibly interesting diseaseā€ by Abhishaike Mahajan

In other words, 60% roughly of endometriosis cases would not be discovered if there was no active search for them.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
ā€œEndometriosis is an incredibly interesting diseaseā€ by Abhishaike Mahajan

In the absolute worst case situation, this should lead us to bump our dallys for endometriosis up by 60%.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
ā€œEndometriosis is an incredibly interesting diseaseā€ by Abhishaike Mahajan

Starting with a base dally of 56.61 per 100k people, this leads us to 141.52.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
ā€œEndometriosis is an incredibly interesting diseaseā€ by Abhishaike Mahajan

Thus our ratio becomes 29 to 141.52, which is a dismal 0.2, close to that of copped.

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)
ā€œEndometriosis is an incredibly interesting diseaseā€ by Abhishaike Mahajan

Now, again, that is a worst-case calculation, where the density of DALYs in the undiscovered endometriosis patient population is identical to that of patients with the diagnosis.