Adam Elga

We haven't had any chances.

This is what's going to happen.

We're going to add in some chances, and that adds something to the mix.

But I just want to anticipate that one of the things that makes me uncomfortable about the family of views that's of a piece with the one I just avowed is that it seems to lead to a certain sort of presumptuousness.

And I think today we might, I hope we get to

What's presumptuousness?

And how do we dodge it?

Sure.

And one of the things that is nice about the case we've been talking about so far is we really are talking about

different copies that are living in the same possible world.

It makes it a lot easier, yes.

Everything, we can idealize the case and suppose that we're just talking, everyone's sure that here's what's exactly going to happen from the beginning to the end of time.

So the only uncertainty left is, which one am I?

Now,

I've called one of the ships, the Potemkin and one of the enterprise, but it's hard to see how that could make a difference.

And, uh, it's not as though, for example, that the people who are created, the bodies that's created on Potemkin is any more misled or any kind of weird, more self undermining situation than the people on the enterprise.

That also, by the way, keyword, something for us to think about for later in the podcast, self undermining.

Um,

But I think there's a very common sense thought here.

It's the thought that when you, to use an example of Bob Stollinger's, when you wake up in the middle of the night, groggily, before you look at your clock and you just think, what time is it?