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Adam Kucharski

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
351 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

I think that's a really good point.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And it kind of shows almost a lot of the transition I think we're going through currently.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And I think particularly for things like, you know, things like smoking cancer, where it's very hard to run a trial, you can't make people randomly take up smoking.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

having those additional pieces of evidence, whether it's an analogy with a similar carcinogen, whether it's a biological mechanism, can help almost give you more supports for that argument that there's a cause and effect going on.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

But I think what I found quite striking, and I realized actually that it's something that had kind of bothered me a bit, and I'd be interested to hear whether it bothers you, but

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

With the emergence of AI, it's almost a bit of the kind of the loss of scientific satisfaction.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

I think, you know, you kind of grow up with learning about how the world works and why this is doing what it's doing.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And I talked, for example, of some of the people involved with AlphaFold and some of the subsequent work in installing those predictions about structures.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And they'd almost kind of made peace with it, which I found kind of interesting because I think they started off being a bit uncomfortable.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

You've got these remarkable AI models making these predictions, but we don't understand still biologically what's happening here.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

But I think they'd just settled and say, well, biology is really complex on some of these problems.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And if we can have a tool that can give us this extremely valuable information, maybe that's okay.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And it was just interesting that they'd really kind of gone through that process

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

kind of process, which I think a lot of people are still grappling with and that almost that discomfort of using AI and what's going to convince you that that's a useful, reliable prediction, whether it's something like predicting protein folding or getting in a self-driving car.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

What's the evidence you need to kind of convince you that's reliable?

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And this, this was a fascinating story because this, Kirk Goodell, who's like one of the greatest logical minds of the 20th century and did a lot of work, particularly in the early 20th century around system of rules, particularly things like mathematics and, and whether they can ever, uh,

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

be really fully satisfying so particularly in mathematics he showed that there were this problem that is very hard to have a set of rules for something like arithmetic that was both complete and covered every situation but also had no contradictions and I think a lot of countries if you go back things like Napoleonic code and these attempts to almost write down every possible legal situation that could be imaginable

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

always just descended into either they needed amendments or they had contradictions.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

I think Godel's work really sums it up.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And there's a story that's in the kind of late 40s when he had his citizenship interview and Einstein and