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Adam Kucharski

👤 Person
346 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And maybe there should have been something more to it.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And people who've kind of dug more into possibilities were saying, well, what could he have spotted differently?

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

that bothered him.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And a lot of his work that he did about consistency in maths was around particularly self-referential statements.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

So if I say this sentence is false, it's kind of self-referential.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And if it is false, then it's true.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

But if it's true, then it's false.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And you get these kind of weird self-referential contradictions.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And so one of the theories about Goodell was that

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And in the constitution, it wasn't that there was a kind of rule for someone can become a dictator, but rather people can use the mechanisms within the constitution to make it easier to make further amendments.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And he kind of called it a downward cycle amendment that he had seen happening in Europe in the run up to the war.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And again, because this is never fully documented exactly what he thought, but it's one of the theories that it wouldn't just be outright, that it would just be this cyclic process of weakening and weakening and weakening and making it easier to add.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And actually, when I wrote that, it was one of the earlier bits of the book that I drafted.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

i did i did sort of debate whether including it i thought you know is this actually just a bit in the weeds of kind of american history and here we are yeah it's it's remarkable yeah yeah no it's i mean i i found it uh you know quite it struck me when i was reading this because here back in 1947 there was somebody

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

Yeah, I think that encapsulates a lot of what the book is about, is that search for certainty.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And, you know, how far do you have to go?

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And I think one of the things that, you know, so then there's a lot of interesting discussion, some fascinating kind of papers around at what point, you know, do you use these studies?

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

What are their flaws?

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

But I think one of the things that does stand out is, you know, across fields, across science, medicine, even if you're going to kind of law, AI, the

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

Having these kind of cookie cutter, you know, this is the definitive way of doing it.