Aisling Moloney

They're very slight because it being a by-election for one seat, basically you somehow need to get over the bar, which is 50% of the vote.

I don't believe that's going to happen.

I think, again, he's going to be up against the difficulty of transfers because where he will have a strong dissident vote, a protest vote, mainstream voters are less likely.

I doubt that they will support him.

I think, like a lot of these two by-elections we'll be discussing Galway West in a while, a lot of the people out there are more in this for profile for the next one than anything else.

And I think that's what he will be doing.

I think he will be looking at his vote share.

There's still unfinished business in the legal system involving Mr. Hutch.

I think he will also be relying on that for leverage there.

saying there they are, the authorities are yet again persecuting me, yet the people on the street, I have large support.

So these things are in play.

But a seat in this by-election?

No, definitely not.

Move on.

Well, no, it is very interesting, the history of this.

From 1977 until 2011, it was Bertie Ahern.

Came out of nowhere, out of the blue, and made it his own.

He owned pretty much every street.

The legend was he had borrowed from the Democratic Party in New York.

They had ward bosses.