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Alex Heath

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
769 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

There's an Omicron wave and it was going to come back because some traders were doing research and they spent copious amount of times.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

They're not necessarily, by the way, like doctors or like people that you would imagine to be the COVID experts.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

The people that maybe love the topics and spend so much time in quarantine reading about it.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

And then they brought that information to market, which is very useful.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

And if we had listened to the markets, maybe we would have kept the mask on for a little bit longer and we might have avoided the second wave.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

Why did you scare my grandma with that comment?

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

Interesting.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

I think that, yeah, I saw that.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

I mean, it was taken out of context and people sort of like, you know, took in all sorts of directions.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

But really what it means is this notion of

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

If you believe that markets work, what they do is they discover prices.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

They're a very good mechanism for discovering fundamentals.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

I think, as you said it in a great way, fundamentals behind something.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

And then uncovering as much truth as possible behind that thing.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

And so what we're saying is like,

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

Sure, applying that to companies is very important.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

Applying that to commodities or currencies is very important.

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

But what if we applied it to some of the most important pressing questions about our future?

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

Could we apply it to a much broader set of things?

Pivot
Betting on Reality with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour: ACCESS

And look, from first principles, we live in a world where the ratio of noise to signal has gone up a lot.