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Alex Imas

πŸ‘€ Speaker
734 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

It's important that this is... We're not talking about a hypothetical future.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Elon Musk is talking about mass drivers on the moon.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

And he's by far the wealthiest person in the world.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

I mean, obviously, currently his...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

his investments are going towards humans as well as machines, but I don't think he cares particularly that is like future researchers and engineers are humans versus AI.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Not necessarily.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

I think you're probably making the same point.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

But I mean, they could just, it could be that their investment has to be titrated through actual laborers who had to go like do things for their investment to work, which like would not, in the future, only the consumption is human mediated, right?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Because the investment can just be done by the robots.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Yeah, that's right.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

And I mean, to the earlier thing where the messy middle, we were saying why this is implausible.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

I feel like we can do a similar thing here where for returns to capital to be lower, the growth rate has to have be lower, right?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

I mean, it certainly has to be lower than what we're expecting through the period of transformative AI.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

You know, if there's explosive growth.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

So you're saying I could be putting my money towards...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

You know, earning 30% interest and investing in data centers or whatever.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

There'll be something in the future if the growth rate is high that earns high returns.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Or I could, as a result of all these technological breakthroughs, there's some cool product that I really want to buy right now.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

And both of those will be compelling options.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Yeah, it doesn't have to be a new product.