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Alex Imas

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
364 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So the developments are happening very fast.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So as far as like email jobs, I think there is a scenario where pretty much everything is automated.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

And then you have to ask, are people going to be moving to the physical jobs?

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Or will there be new jobs that we haven't thought about before?

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So, you know, if you look back in the 1940s, like, I think more than half of the jobs that we have now didn't exist in 1940.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

And so what did the new jobs look like?

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

I mean, I have a theory.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Please.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

It's very similar to the one that you didn't like.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

But I'd like to broaden it a little bit.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So there's an economic subfield.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

It's very, very small, but on the economics of structural change.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So if you look at agriculture and manufacturing, right?

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

If you look at them as share of GDP and share of employment, going back to like the 1800s, they were a huge part of the labor force and GDP of the economy.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

And if you look, basically they become smaller and smaller, smaller parts of the economy.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Why is that happening?

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

It's because they're getting automated.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

What does automation do?

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

It makes the price of those sectors very cheap, but people are satiated on the goods.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

You can only eat so much, right?