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Alex Imas

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
354 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

of thinking like, maybe we can do something much more general than that.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Maybe we can kind of come back to this idea of AGI versus these very specific tools.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So then the whole term AGI, the general part of it, the reason that term came out was because in response to these very specific technologies that were being developed, which were by design, not general.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So somebody said, Shane Legg was one of the people who kind of, I think coined the term.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

He was saying, look,

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

let's think about the general part of intelligence and let's try to build a technology that is as general as the human mind.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

I mean, even though many people were talking about this, that this vibe ship was going to happen.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

People were telegraphing it for months and months.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Look, when agents start taking off, things are gonna change as far as how people perceive this technology.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Because the thing about agents versus just like the web-based browsers, they can do stuff.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

On your computer, they can say like, you could tell it like, look, make me a spreadsheet.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

It will go and make you a spreadsheet using the tools that are available in your computer.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Not just say, okay, here is how you would make a spreadsheet, but you have to do it yourself.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

And that's a paradigm shift as far as the economics of the technology.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So I definitely think there is one.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

There's a very nice survey done by a whole team of people.

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Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Kevin Bryan was one of them, and Basil Halpern was another.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

And they released this survey where they asked for forecasts from economists and AI technologists.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Now, this is a self-selected group of economists.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

These are economists who are working on AI, so it's not the whole field.