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Alex Imas

πŸ‘€ Speaker
734 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So there's an economic subfield.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

It's very, very small, but on the economics of structural change.

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Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So if you look at agriculture and manufacturing, right?

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Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

If you look at them as share of GDP and share of employment, going back to like the 1800s, they were a huge part of the labor force and GDP of the economy.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

And if you look, basically they become smaller and smaller, smaller parts of the economy.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Why is that happening?

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Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

It's because they're getting automated.

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Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

What does automation do?

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Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

It makes the price of those sectors very cheap, but people are satiated on the goods.

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Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

You can only eat so much, right?

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Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So what does that mean?

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Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

It means even though we're eating just as much as we were before, because the price has come down so much, they are now tiny shares of the GDP, right?

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

What is made up the larger part of the GDP?

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Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

It's services, right?

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Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

These are tasks that haven't been automated yet.

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Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So the question is, the number one question of economics in the age of advanced AI is what becomes scarce, right?

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Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Everybody's talking about abundance.

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Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

We're going to have abundance.

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Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Sure, we're going to have abundance of some things, but some things are going to remain scarce.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So if you answer that question, what's going to be scarce, a lot of the other answers pop out of it.