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Alex Imas

πŸ‘€ Speaker
734 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

One, physical versus just kind of digital, right?

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So I think there's a scenario where it can do everything, these sort of cognitive, non-physical tasks, whereas the physical world is completely... Let's just talk about email jobs or computer jobs.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Okay, let's talk about computer jobs.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So I think... I take that scenario pretty seriously.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Okay.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

I think...

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

I haven't seen any data to suggest that the models are slowing down as far as their capabilities.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

You know, Mithos was released yesterday or two days ago or something like that.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

And if you, we don't have great data on this, but if you look at like where it is on the kind of line of capabilities, it's just on track.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

And on track is very, very fast, right?

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So the developments are happening very fast.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So as far as like email jobs, I think there is a scenario where pretty much everything is automated.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

And then you have to ask, are people going to be moving to the physical jobs?

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Or will there be new jobs that we haven't thought about before?

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So, you know, if you look back in the 1940s, like, I think more than half of the jobs that we have now didn't exist in 1940.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

And so what did the new jobs look like?

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Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

I mean, I have a theory.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Please.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

It's very similar to the one that you didn't like.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

But I'd like to broaden it a little bit.