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Alex Imas

πŸ‘€ Speaker
734 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Once you do the proof, it's much easier to check if it's right or wrong rather than construct the proof.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

And so jobs that have large components where we have a large data bank of data to train the models in a way where the output is verifiable are going to be potentially more exposed in the sense where you can automate more tasks within the job.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Now, the thing that we haven't talked about yet is new tasks.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Right.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Right.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So we're talking about a very static sort of economy where there's the lever, there's me walking around, and if I'm automating these things, that's the end of my job.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

But you could imagine a scenario where you automate a part of a job and all of a sudden this person is freed up or the task was actually a complement to a task that wasn't even imagined by the organization that this person is now doing that's not automated.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So that's something that I think people should be looking at especially, and this is data that actually AI companies have, is what new things are people doing?

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

They don't have all the data, of course, but they have data about like, okay, so this is a software engineer.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

And, you know, a year ago, these are the sort of tasks that this person was working on through our system.

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Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

These are the sort of queries and things like that.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

And you could see like some of these queries being automated fully by the agents.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Now they're asking potentially different questions.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Or can we classify these as different tasks that are not fully automated where the AI system is actually a complement to those tasks?

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So this is not like a perfect picture of a new job.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

But this is data.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

vibe coding an app for voice.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

Yeah, exactly right.

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

So...

Odd Lots
Alex Imas on Why Economists Might Be Getting AI Wrong

A lot of parts of that question.