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Alex Imas

πŸ‘€ Speaker
734 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Exactly.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

So long-run elasticity is higher than short-run elasticity.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

But even in the long run, so agriculture famously is the example where we can produce way more food if we dedicated the same portion of the economy that we dedicated to agriculture.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

We're already producing more food regardless, but we could produce even more food if the same portion of the economy that was producing food 100 years ago was currently producing food.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

But you eat enough and then you're done.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

And so the claim with software is that it is not some inherent property

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

of markets that as it gets cheaper, you'll just keep wanting more of it.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Absolutely not.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

The thing about software is this is a particular kind of good, whereas it gets cheaper, we'll want more and more of it.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

And it's also highly relevant, and you wrote an essay about this.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

A lot of this podcast is me summarizing your essays back to you, that there's this very viral...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

scenario planning about the future by Citrini, where they're predicting as a result of automation, as a result of very powerful AI, there will be a recession because white collar workers will get automated.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Their salaries, which were paying for a bunch of things, will no longer be available.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

And so there'll be a slump.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Do you want to recapitulate why this might be implausible?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

And then you can get negative growth, which is like... And the crucial thing is even if we don't want more shit, the world in which there's a singularity and we don't want to invest more money is crazy, right?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Where we're not like, let's build more data centers, let's build more fabs.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Even though we have AGI, we're not like...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

investing in more data centers to run the AGI.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

And that's like driving more economic growth.