Alexander Osipovich
speaker
97 appearances
7 recordings
2 series
first heard Dec 2024
last heard 28 Aug
Alexander Osipovich’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 5 in all, peaking in Aug 2026 with 2.
Appearances
WSJ What’s News · Are Apprenticeships the Answer as AI Pulls Up the Career Ladder? · 28 Aug 2026
podcast
Operations.
On the whole, the Trump administration has been great for prediction markets.
They've expanded into sports, they advertise everywhere, and they've just been a big part of the zeitgeist, you could say.
Regulators have generally been friendly to them.
However, the regulators have also made it clear that there are certain kinds of wrongdoing that they will not tolerate, and that includes insider trading, especially if it touches national security.
Issues.
You're unlikely to go and place a bet on some kind of a political type market if you think that you're going to lose to somebody who knows the inside track and you're going to just end up being a sucker against them.
So for the platforms to have credibility, for the regulators to be able to say confidently that we have oversight of these platforms, they need to stop those types of incidents.
Calcian polymarkets
The two predominant prediction market platforms have both said that they cooperate with the government and have reported cases of insider trading to the authorities.
Bitcoin is doing really well right now.
It wasn't doing much over the summer, and then suddenly it is up nearly 25% over the past week.
Last week's news about the U.S.
Treasury Department's intervention in the bond market to suppress interest rates was seen as bullish for Bitcoin.
As an investor, you can put money into a safe deposit
bond that yields you a predictable interest rate, or you can put it into something risky that could give you a high return, but could also collapse in value.
And so to the extent that you're worried about the dollar losing its value and looking for other alternatives to put your wealth into, Bitcoin has often been a destination that's talked about.
The CFTC is going to take a pretty hard line on contracts on war, terrorism or assassination because the perverse incentives that those could create.
It's Wednesday, June 10th.
Well, the CFTC is beginning to really wrestle with the question of what is okay to bet on in prediction markets and what is not.
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