Alexandr (Alex) Wang
👤 PersonAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
how fast it's going to go.
It won't know what munitions it has.
It won't know what its range is.
It won't know all the key facts.
Unless, by the way, they have really good intel and they already know all those things because they've hacked us.
But let's assume they don't know.
So the first few conflicts, it's not really going to be able to figure out what's happening.
That's a key component of strategic surprise is always having new platforms that won't be sort of simulatable, let's say, by enemy wargaming tech.
So that's definitely part of it.
But at a certain point,
it's going to know what the hardware are capable of, and it's going to be able to run the simulations to understand how that changes the calculus.
Because ultimately, right, what's going to happen is... And some of this stuff, like, you know, this is, like...
you know some of this stuff is dissonant because obviously if you look at what happens today in the military it looks nothing like this but let's play the play the tape forward and like see what happens in the future ultimately you're gonna run large-scale simulations and it's going to figure out hey this new you know uh
unmanned surface vehicle has this much range, it can go this quickly, it can maneuver in this way, it has this kind of munitions, it has this kind of connectivity, it is vulnerable to these kinds of, you know, EW attacks, whatever they may be, it can be jammed in these ways, and those will all just be parameters for the simulation to run.
So I think... But initially, you would have no recommendations.
Yeah, I believe so.
I believe that, you know, we have this concept that we talk about a lot, which is human sovereignty.
AI systems are going to get way better, but how do we ensure that humans remain sovereign?