Alice Han
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
That could rise significantly if we see more of a move to reduce the 45% tariffs, for instance, on Chinese EVs.
I think in a way, Trump's moves have probably pushed a lot of these countries, the Europeans, the Canadians, now maybe even the Brits, to adopt a softer trade policy towards China.
There has been an understanding over the last few years that China is an overcapacity and a national security problem.
But at the end of the day, there's a lot of money on the table and a lot of vested interests in those countries.
that want to see business between the two countries.
You know, we can go into the numbers, but that's sort of my broad brushstroke view of why these countries are moving, it seems, in lockstep.
And everyone will be convening in Davos, as you know.
They're all convening on this sleepy, snow-capped town of Davos, where I think a lot of drama will happen.
I would agree with you, James.
You know, the expression, while the cats away, the mice will play.
I'm thinking maybe the Canadians and the Europeans and the mice in this analogy.
As long as the U.S.
is subsidizing their national security and is running a trade deficit with those two trading blocs, Canada and the EU.
It's just a natural bedfellow for those two regions of the world, whereas China, the opposite, is a national security threat and is running massive trade surpluses.
So I think this is a tactical short-term move in order to extract some short-term gains rather than a strategic pivot.
And certainly in the short term, some agricultural producers in Canada and the EU will benefit.
Airbus, we haven't talked about, will likely benefit as well.
China's already considering purchasing more French and European aircraft.
And Airbus' market share in China is already 55%, which just recently overtook U.S.
's Boeing's market share.