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Alice Han

👤 Speaker
2362 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Trump’s Trade War Turns Into a Win for China

Nearly a third of that growth came from net exports, and the yuan is estimated to be significantly undervalued.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Trump’s Trade War Turns Into a Win for China

That combination has fueled a record trade surplus and rising tensions with the U.S.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Trump’s Trade War Turns Into a Win for China

and Europe.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Trump’s Trade War Turns Into a Win for China

Now layer in last week's ruling from the U.S.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Trump’s Trade War Turns Into a Win for China

Supreme Court, which says President Trump overstepped his authority in imposing sweeping global tariffs under emergency powers.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Trump’s Trade War Turns Into a Win for China

If parts of that tariff stack come off, especially on China, it could reshape U.S.-China trade flows at the exact moment Beijing is being told it needs to pivot inward and boost domestic consumption.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Trump’s Trade War Turns Into a Win for China

James, the IEPA tariffs have been struck down.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Trump’s Trade War Turns Into a Win for China

There was a lot of speculation about this in the run-up to the Supreme Court ruling, but 6-3, pretty unanimous in striking down.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Trump’s Trade War Turns Into a Win for China

China is a big beneficiary.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Trump’s Trade War Turns Into a Win for China

I was looking into the data.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Trump’s Trade War Turns Into a Win for China

The effective tariff rate has gone down seven percentage points.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Trump’s Trade War Turns Into a Win for China

How do you think about this ruling and the way that China perceives it and the way that China may even be changing its strategy in advance of that April meeting between Xi and Trump?

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Trump’s Trade War Turns Into a Win for China

Yeah.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Trump’s Trade War Turns Into a Win for China

And by the way, just to give you a data point to completely vindicate what you just said, James, I looked at the January data for electric vehicles in China.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Trump’s Trade War Turns Into a Win for China

We had 286,000 EVs that were exported from China in January.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Trump’s Trade War Turns Into a Win for China

That's up 104% year on year.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Trump’s Trade War Turns Into a Win for China

And now China represents, as of January this year, 49.6% share of total auto exports.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Trump’s Trade War Turns Into a Win for China

And that's, again, up 13 percentage points year on year.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Trump’s Trade War Turns Into a Win for China

BYD, which is a clear frontrunner, is exporting twice the amount of EVs that Tesla is at second place.

The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
China Decode: Trump’s Trade War Turns Into a Win for China

That's just to give you a sense of what is actually happening on the ground.