Andrej Karpathy

You know, they don't have continual learning.

You can't just tell them something and they'll remember it.

And they're just cognitively lacking and it's just not working.

And I just think that it will take about a decade to work through all of those issues.

Yeah, I guess this is where you get into like a bit of, I guess, my own intuition a little bit.

And also just kind of doing a bit of an extrapolation with respect to my own experience in the field, right?

So I guess I've been in AI for...

almost two decades.

I mean, it's going to be maybe 15 years or so.

Not that long.

You had Richard Sutton here who was around, of course, for much longer.

But I do have about 15 years of experience of people making predictions of seeing how they actually turned out.

And also, I was in the industry for a while and I was in research and I worked in the industry for a while.

So, I guess I kind of have just a general intuition that I have left from that.

And...

I feel like the problems are tractable.

They're surmountable.

But they're still difficult.

And if I just average it out, it just kind of feels like a ticket, I guess, to me.

Yeah, I mean, that's a giant question because, of course, you're talking about 15 years of stuff that happened.