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Andrej Karpathy

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
3419 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Yeah, maybe it can be smaller.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

I do think that, practically speaking, you want the model to have some knowledge.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

You don't want it to be looking up everything.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Because then you can't think in your head.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

You're looking up way too much stuff all the time.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

So I do think it needs to be some basic curriculum needs to be there for knowledge.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

But it doesn't have esoteric knowledge, you know?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Yeah, I don't know that I have a super strong prediction.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

I do think that the labs are just being practical.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

They have a flops budget and a cost budget.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

And it just turns out that pre-training is not where you want to put most of your flops or your cost.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

So that's why the models have gotten smaller, because they are a bit smaller, the pre-training stage is smaller, et cetera, but they make it up in reinforcement learning and all this kind of stuff, mid-training and all this kind of stuff that follows.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

So they're just being practical in terms of all the stages and how you get the most bang for the buck.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

So I guess like forecasting that trend, I think, is quite hard.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

I do still expect that there's so much longing for it.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

That's my basic expectation.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Yeah.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

And so I have a very wide distribution here.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Probably most part, yeah.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

I expect the data sets to get much, much better because when you look at the average data sets, they're extremely terrible.