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Andrej Karpathy

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
3419 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Like so bad that I don't even know how anything works, to be honest.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Like look at the average example in the training set.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Like factual mistakes, errors, nonsensical things.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Somehow when you do it at scale, the noise washes away and you're left with some of the signal.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

um so data sets will improve a ton it's just everything gets better so um our hardware um our all the kernels um all the kernels for running the hardware and maximizing what you get with the hardware you know so nvidia is slowly tuning the actual hardware itself tensor course and so on all that needs to happen and will continue to happen uh all the kernels will get better and utilize the chip to the max extent all the algorithms will probably improve over optimization architecture and just all the modeling components of how everything is done and what the algorithms are that we're even training with

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

So I do kind of expect like a just very just everything.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Nothing dominates.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Everything plus 20%.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Right.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Interesting.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

This is like roughly what I've seen.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

So I guess I have two answers to that.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Number one, I'm almost tempted to, like, reject the question entirely because, again, like, I see this as an extension of computing.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Have we talked about, like, how to chart progress in computing or how do you chart progress in computing since 1970s or whatever?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

What is the x-axis?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

So I kind of feel like the whole question is kind of, like, funny from that perspective a little bit.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

But I will say, I guess, like, when people talk about AI and the original AGI and how we spoke about it when we โ€“ when OpenAI started โ€“

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

AGI was a system you can go to that can do any task that is economically valuable, any economically valuable task at human performance or better.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Okay.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

So that was the definition.