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Andrej Karpathy

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
3419 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

And I was pretty happy with that at the time.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

And I kind of feel like I've stuck to that definition forever.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

And then people have made up all kinds of other definitions.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

But I feel like I like that definition.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Now, number one, the first concession that people make all the time is they just take out all the physical stuff because we're just talking about digital knowledge work.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

I feel like that's a pretty major concession compared to the original definition, which was like any task a human can do.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

I can lift things, et cetera.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Like AI can't do that, obviously.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

So, okay, but we'll take it.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

What fraction of the economy are we taking away by saying, oh, only knowledge work?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

I don't actually know the numbers.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

I feel like it's about 10% to 20%, if I had to guess, is only knowledge work.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Like someone could work from home and perform tasks, something like that.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Yeah.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

I still think it's a really large market.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Like, yeah, what is the size of the economy and what is 10%, 20%?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

Like, we're still talking about a few trillion dollars of, even in the U.S., of market share almost, or like work.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

So, still a very massive bucket.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

So, but I guess like going back to the definition, I guess what I would be looking for is to what extent is that definition true?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Andrej Karpathy โ€” AGI is still a decade away

So, are there jobs or lots of tasks?