Andrej Karpathy

I can lift things, et cetera.

Like AI can't do that, obviously.

So, okay, but we'll take it.

What fraction of the economy are we taking away by saying, oh, only knowledge work?

I don't actually know the numbers.

I feel like it's about 10% to 20%, if I had to guess, is only knowledge work.

Like someone could work from home and perform tasks, something like that.

Yeah.

I still think it's a really large market.

Like, yeah, what is the size of the economy and what is 10%, 20%?

Like, we're still talking about a few trillion dollars of, even in the U.S., of market share almost, or like work.

So, still a very massive bucket.

So, but I guess like going back to the definition, I guess what I would be looking for is to what extent is that definition true?

So, are there jobs or lots of tasks?

If we think of tasks as, you know, not jobs, but tasks, kind of difficult definitions.

Because the problem is like society will refactor based on the tasks that make up jobs compared to what's based on what's automatable or not.

But today, what jobs are replaceable by AI?

So a good example recently was Jeff Hinton's prediction that radiologists would not be a job anymore.

And this turned out to be very wrong in a bunch of ways, right?

So radiologists are alive and well and growing, even though computer vision is really, really good at recognizing all the different things that they have to recognize in images.