Andrej Karpathy

Industrial revolution is automation and some of the physical components and the tool building and all this kind of stuff.

Compilers are early software automation, et cetera.

So I kind of feel like we've been recursively self-improving and exploding for a long time.

Maybe another way to see it is,

I mean, Earth was a pretty, I mean, if you don't look at the biomechanics and so on, it was a pretty boring place, I think, and looked very similar if you just look from space.

And Earth is spinning, and then, like, we're in the middle of this, like, firecracker event.

Right.

But we're seeing it in slow motion.

But I definitely feel like this has already happened for a very long time.

And, again, like, I don't see AI as, like, a distinct technology with respect to what has already been happening for a long time.

This was very interesting to me because I was trying to find AI in the GDP for a while.

I thought that GDP should go up.

But then I looked at some of the other technologies that I thought were very transformative, like maybe computers or mobile phones or etc.

You can't find them in GDP.

GDP is the same exponential.

And it's just that even, for example, the early iPhone didn't have the App Store and it didn't have a lot of the bells and whistles that the modern iPhone has.

And so even though we think of 2008, was it, when iPhone came out as like some major seismic change, it's actually not.

Everything is like so spread out and so slowly diffuses that everything ends up being averaged up into the same exponential.

And it's the exact same thing with computers.

You can't find them in the GDP.