Andrej Karpathy
π€ SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
That, to me, seems most likely outcome of how all of this stuff will go down.
Yeah, I think that's fair.
That's a good pushback.
I think, like, I guess I expect loss of both power.
So we're really far into a territory of... I don't know what this looks like, but if I was to write sci-fi novels, they would look along the lines of not even a single entity or something like that, that just sort of takes over everything, but actually multiple competing entities that gradually become more and more autonomous, and some of them go rogue, and the others fight them off, and all this kind of stuff.
And it's like this hot pot of...
completely autonomous activity that we've delegated to.
I kind of feel like it would have that flavor.
I mean, I basically expect there to be, I mean, a lot of these things, I mean, they will be tools to people and the people could, some of the population is like, they're acting on behalf of people or something like that.
So maybe those people are in control, but maybe it's a loss of control overall for society in the sense of like outcomes we want or something like that, where you have entities acting on behalf of individuals that are still kind of roughly seen as out of control.
I guess what I mean is...
I do, but it's business as usual because we're in an intelligence explosion already and have been for decades.
And when you look at GDP, it's basically the GDP curve that is an exponential weighted sum over so many aspects of the industry.
Everything is gradually being automated, has been for hundreds of years.
Industrial revolution is automation and some of the physical components and the tool building and all this kind of stuff.
Compilers are early software automation, et cetera.
So I kind of feel like we've been recursively self-improving and exploding for a long time.
Maybe another way to see it is,
I mean, Earth was a pretty, I mean, if you don't look at the biomechanics and so on, it was a pretty boring place, I think, and looked very similar if you just look from space.
And Earth is spinning, and then, like, we're in the middle of this, like, firecracker event.