Andrej Karpathy

It's going to fail at some other things.

It's going to be gradually put into society and basically end up with the same pattern, is my prediction.

Because this assumption of suddenly having a completely intelligent, fully flexible, fully general human in a box and we can dispense it at arbitrary problems in society, I don't think that we will have this

like discrete change.

And so I think we'll arrive at the same kind of gradual diffusion of this across the industry.

So I think I understand, but I still think that you're presupposing some discrete jump, some unlock that we're waiting to claim.

And suddenly we're going to have geniuses in data centers.

And I still think you're presupposing some discrete jump that I think has basically no historical precedent that I can't find in any of the statistics and that I think probably won't happen.

I'm a little bit suspicious.

I would have to look at it.

I'm a little bit suspicious, and I would have to take a look.

For example, maybe some of the logs are not very good from before the Industrial Revolution or something like that.

So I'm a little bit suspicious of it, but yeah, maybe you're right.

I don't have strong opinions.

Maybe you're saying that this was a singular event that was extremely magical, and you're saying that maybe there's going to be another event that's going to be just like that, extremely magical, it will break paradigm, and so on.

There's still some overhang that's being unlocked.

Like maybe there's a new energy source.

There's some unlock, in this case, some kind of a cognitive capacity.

And there's an overhang of cognitive work to do.

That's right.