Andrej Karpathy

And you're expecting that overhang to be filled by this new technology when it crosses the threshold.

Yeah, I mean, yeah, it's really hard to tell.

I understand that viewpoint.

I don't intuitively feel that viewpoint.

I love Nick Fling's books, by the way.

So, yeah, I was just listening to his podcast on the way up here.

With respect to intelligence and its evolution, I do think it came fairly, I mean, it's very, very recent, right?

I am surprised that it evolved.

Yeah.

I find it fascinating to think about all the worlds out there.

Like, say, there's a thousand planets like Earth and what they look like.

I think Nick Lane was here talking about some of the early parts, right?

Like, okay, he expects basically very similar life forms, roughly speaking, and bacteria-like things in most of them.

And then there's a few breaks in there.

I would expect that the evolution of intelligence intuitively feels to me like it should be a fairly rare event.

And there have been animals for... I guess maybe you should base it on how long something has existed.

So, for example, if bacteria have been around for 2 billion years and nothing happened, then going to your carrier is probably pretty hard because bacteria actually came up quite early in Earth's evolution or history.

And so I guess, how long have we had animals?

Maybe a couple hundred million years, like multicellular animals that like run, run, crawl, et cetera, which is maybe 10% of Earth's lifespan or something like that.

So maybe on that timescale, it's actually not too tricky.