Andrew England
π€ SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Now, Iran has always said that it's not developing a nuclear weapon.
There was a fatwa by the Supreme Leader in 2003.
Peter Robinson Certainly, there are those in Iran who would say that after the June war last year,
I think, because you've got to remember that Iran wants to get something out of this as well, right?
So Iran has taken significant blows.
Its economy is in deep crisis.
You know, inflation is up around 60%, 70%, 80%.
They're going to have to do a lot of reconstruction.
Petrochemical plants have been hit.
Their oil exports have been stymied.
They can't trade through the UAE as they would.
They do need an economic dividend and their challenges will come when the war stops in terms of dealing with domestic pressure.
So there's a reason for Iran to want this to stop as well.
Just to go back to your original question, this is the great uncertainty.
So if you get to this short-term ceasefire, does Trump just claim a victory?
The Iranians are notorious for dragging out negotiations, playing the long game.
Trump always wants a quick deal.
So will he claim a victory eventually?