Andrew England
π€ SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
I think everybody thinks he wants a deal.
He said it would take four to five weeks.
On the back of the Maduro kidnapping in Venezuela, which was a clean success, Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, presented him a war scenario where there would be great outcomes, regime change, destroy the missile capacity, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera.
So he got sucked into this war, hawks everywhere.
thought it would be easy and then quickly understood actually they're not about to collapse.
They've closed the Strait of Hormuz.
Oh dear, we didn't expect that.
They're hitting energy facilities in the Gulf.
Oh dear, we didn't expect that.
They've triggered a global energy crisis.
Our allies in the Arab world are getting battered and they're not stopping.
So that's where we got to the eighth ceasefire.
Now, the question is, how does he get out with still claiming a win, still claiming a victory?
And knowing Trump, he would paint anything as a victory, right?
The short-term deal, in theory, could allow him to do that in the way he spins it.
So there will be a commitment by Iran to say, we're never going to develop nuclear weapons.
And kind of the one constant in Trump's
war goals, and they were totally incoherent, was, I'm stopping Iran developing a nuclear weapon.