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Andy Darroch

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
187 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

I don't think it will cause major issues.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

I think the thing that people will remember hopefully is that liquidity isn't guaranteed, that you may have to wait an amount of time to get your investment back.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

But these are loans.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

You know, the leverage isn't as extreme as other things in the past that have blown up.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

These are funds that are lending.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

You know, it's not a bank situation where you might have, you

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

you know lending these aren't prudential instruments so I think everything will be fine it'll just be hopefully everyone gets their funds back when they want them and you know the natural experience is when you're lending to high-risk companies that some of those will go bust and that's normal what should happen is that the interest from the other loans that do perform more than outweigh that so I'd say I don't think anyone needs to stay awake at night

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

being fearful it's just hopefully a reminder that you know sometimes products are marketed as being higher return but that return has to come from somewhere right

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

I, like you, don't know, and I really enjoyed when you had a question similar to this recently saying, if you do one thing, do not make big investment decisions based on hearsay, rumour and fact, and especially with things like property that have high transaction costs and taxes and all the rest.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

I think, like, based on all the smart people I listen to, yourself included, that the amount of, you know, tacit leaking that's gone on with this pretty much guarantees that there's going to be some changes to CGT.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

They're obviously... You know what?

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

Well, I tell you what, if I was a real estate agent, I'd have my phone switched on at 4pm on budget night on May 12, because I reckon you'll have some panicked people.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

But generally, look, there's too much that's still unknown.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

So will it be grandfathered?

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

Will it be siloed and quarantined just to residential investment properties?

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

My guess is that it will only be restricted to resi investment property.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

I have nothing but just reading the news and my personal opinion to form that.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

And then it seems to be that the 30% or 33% figure seems to be what most people agree on.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

How they get to that, I don't know.

The Money Puzzle
Private credit - How bad is this going to get?

I don't know what the actuary that came up with that.