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Anthony Macdonald

πŸ‘€ Speaker
1215 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons

And they have the trim mean inflation getting back to the 2.5% range in the year to June 2028.

Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons

So a full two years away.

Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons

And that also ensures that by then unemployment is going to be up to 4.7%.

Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons

It's currently at 4.3%.

Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons

So we need job losses to get there.

Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons

Yeah, I'm sort of scratching my head a little bit as to how it all plays out, James.

Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons

But I think in the near term, when inflation is up near 5%, what other choices are they going to have?

Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons

I mean, the other thing worth watching, and we mentioned it in the intro, the Australian dollar.

Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons

I mean, we have the highest rates ever.

Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons

amongst the big developed countries in the world, AAA rated government balance sheet, that attracts money.

Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons

And that's been coming to Australia.

Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons

People are saying, all right, I'll come there.

Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons

I'll take the 4.35% or a bit higher that I can get.

Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons

And that's driving up the Aussie dollar.

Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons

So it's now at about 72, 72 and a half cents, high since April, 2022.

Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons

It's just sort of been on this steady march higher.

Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons

It hasn't attracted a lot of attention and companies aren't really talking about it, but that's ticking away in the background as well.

Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons

Is that official Chanticleer guidance?

Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons

James, remember the last time you made one of these calls?

Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons

You got it right.