Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
I think rates were on hold for 18 months at the time when no one could believe it.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
How confident are you in this one?
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
Well, pre-pandemic, it was the opposite, right, James?
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
I mean, they did a decade of inflation below target, and that's one of the reasons why Jim Chalmers came in and sort of tried to rethink the whole RBA process and the monetary policy board and whatever.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
I think we're seeing it doesn't matter what the structure is, whether inflation is low or high or whatever, that target, it's really hard to hit.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
I mean, particularly on the company side, all of them have a story, right?
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
Stock picking is storytelling.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
Investor relations is all about telling stories.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
All these companies, they've got heaps of plans, strategic capital allocation, all that stuff.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
They get knocked around by the external environment, but they all turn up and they twist and evolve that story to sort of tap into what's hot in the external environment.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
Right now, that's AI, isn't it?
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
AI, AI CapEx, data center development, anything in the sort of material supply chain that can tap into that thematic.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
So I thought the companies themselves were pretty positive.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
I thought investors were more positive.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
as well than I expected.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
I mean, they're willing to look past what's actually going on at the moment and think about FY27.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
Obviously, no one knows how long the oil price is going to stay up.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
No one knows how long the Iran war is going to go for.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
But I mean, companies are saying, you know, we're all right at the moment.
Chanticleer
RBA's ugly message for households, inside Australia's biggest investment event & Macquarie's pay lessons
If these things...