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Anthony Scilipoti

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
1019 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Knowledge Project
Anthony Scilipoti: The Bubble No One is Talking About

So if you're saying they should consider it.

The Knowledge Project
Anthony Scilipoti: The Bubble No One is Talking About

I understand.

The Knowledge Project
Anthony Scilipoti: The Bubble No One is Talking About

So I think what they should do is they should look at

The Knowledge Project
Anthony Scilipoti: The Bubble No One is Talking About

earnings on a pre-EPS.

The Knowledge Project
Anthony Scilipoti: The Bubble No One is Talking About

So look at the earnings that the company's generating before you divide it by the number of shares to see is that number growing relative to the revenues.

The Knowledge Project
Anthony Scilipoti: The Bubble No One is Talking About

Because now you're seeing, or is it just coming from a reduction of stock price, number of shares outstanding?

The Knowledge Project
Anthony Scilipoti: The Bubble No One is Talking About

And if the company's taking on debt, here's the classic example.

The Knowledge Project
Anthony Scilipoti: The Bubble No One is Talking About

The company borrows money to buy back stock.

The Knowledge Project
Anthony Scilipoti: The Bubble No One is Talking About

Why?

The Knowledge Project
Anthony Scilipoti: The Bubble No One is Talking About

Because it's such a highly perceived value company and generates cash, it can borrow money.

The Knowledge Project
Anthony Scilipoti: The Bubble No One is Talking About

and at a very low price and invest it in its own stock, which has historically generated a greater return than how much it has to pay in debt.

The Knowledge Project
Anthony Scilipoti: The Bubble No One is Talking About

Well, this works until it doesn't, because if for some reason the business changes or just slows its growth,

The Knowledge Project
Anthony Scilipoti: The Bubble No One is Talking About

Which could be just a natural evolution.

The Knowledge Project
Anthony Scilipoti: The Bubble No One is Talking About

Like part of this is the law of large numbers.

The Knowledge Project
Anthony Scilipoti: The Bubble No One is Talking About

Okay.

The Knowledge Project
Anthony Scilipoti: The Bubble No One is Talking About

And if this happens, then all of a sudden that debt doesn't go away.

The Knowledge Project
Anthony Scilipoti: The Bubble No One is Talking About

And what looked like a very low cost is now a meaningful cost that doesn't leave.

The Knowledge Project
Anthony Scilipoti: The Bubble No One is Talking About

And I look at Apple and this is what concerns me.

The Knowledge Project
Anthony Scilipoti: The Bubble No One is Talking About

Revenues aren't growing.

The Knowledge Project
Anthony Scilipoti: The Bubble No One is Talking About

Minimal.