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Arthur Hayes

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
642 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Arthur Hayes Predicts Massive Market Crash and Bitcoin Surge by 2030

Well, guess what?

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Arthur Hayes Predicts Massive Market Crash and Bitcoin Surge by 2030

Go back and become a Chinese investor.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Arthur Hayes Predicts Massive Market Crash and Bitcoin Surge by 2030

And look at the average return over the last 20 years.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Arthur Hayes Predicts Massive Market Crash and Bitcoin Surge by 2030

Who did really, really well?

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Arthur Hayes Predicts Massive Market Crash and Bitcoin Surge by 2030

Yes, China built all this amazing infrastructure that helped the average person upgrade their standard of living.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Arthur Hayes Predicts Massive Market Crash and Bitcoin Surge by 2030

But as an investor on a long-term basis, you made no money in China.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Arthur Hayes Predicts Massive Market Crash and Bitcoin Surge by 2030

You invested on the side of the government.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Arthur Hayes Predicts Massive Market Crash and Bitcoin Surge by 2030

You provided your capital.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Arthur Hayes Predicts Massive Market Crash and Bitcoin Surge by 2030

China's government said, great, thank you for that capital.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Arthur Hayes Predicts Massive Market Crash and Bitcoin Surge by 2030

I'm going to build airports, roads, apartments, whatever.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Arthur Hayes Predicts Massive Market Crash and Bitcoin Surge by 2030

On a macro basis, you made no money as an equity investor in China.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Arthur Hayes Predicts Massive Market Crash and Bitcoin Surge by 2030

Now, they're great for society, bad for investors.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Arthur Hayes Predicts Massive Market Crash and Bitcoin Surge by 2030

We're going to repeat the same thing with AI in the United States, especially.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Arthur Hayes Predicts Massive Market Crash and Bitcoin Surge by 2030

AI is great for society, hopefully, bad for individual investors who hold these investments too long.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Arthur Hayes Predicts Massive Market Crash and Bitcoin Surge by 2030

Because yes, it feels great investing with the government right now, but maybe by 2028, not so great when Nvidia was up 10x, but now you're down 90% because you can get out in time.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Arthur Hayes Predicts Massive Market Crash and Bitcoin Surge by 2030

So I think that's the lesson.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Arthur Hayes Predicts Massive Market Crash and Bitcoin Surge by 2030

And as you said, right?

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Arthur Hayes Predicts Massive Market Crash and Bitcoin Surge by 2030

These are great investments for the collective, right?

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Arthur Hayes Predicts Massive Market Crash and Bitcoin Surge by 2030

But it's bad for the shareholder.

Tom Bilyeu's Impact Theory
Arthur Hayes Predicts Massive Market Crash and Bitcoin Surge by 2030

Right now, Trump and whoever else comes after him are going to be like, yes, we're going to support the shareholder.