Dwarkesh Podcast
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
CATL, very good company.
Dwarkesh Podcast
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
You look at the totality of the corporate universe in the world, it's still pretty big.
Dwarkesh Podcast
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
US companies are incredibly powerful and adept across many, many, many technological sectors.
Dwarkesh Podcast
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
They are very good at what they do.
Dwarkesh Podcast
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
In many cases, they still have very strong positions in China because they're so much better at what they do than the Chinese competitors.
Dwarkesh Podcast
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
We're dealing with the rise of a new entrant on the global stage and that's uncomfortable and there's some jostling there.
Dwarkesh Podcast
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
But we should also not overstate the degree to which even on a sort of a commercial industrial side that we are sort of existentially threatened by this.
Dwarkesh Podcast
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
There's some real challenges there.
Dwarkesh Podcast
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
But a lot of this notion that we will –
Dwarkesh Podcast
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
that we will not have an auto industry in five years because of BYD.
Dwarkesh Podcast
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
Let's get a grip, folks.
Dwarkesh Podcast
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
We could end up there, but if we end up there, it's because we will have made a bunch of really bad policy decisions that got us there, not because this competitive threat exists.
Dwarkesh Podcast
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
So mostly it's on us to figure out how to get things right on our own terms within our own system.
Dwarkesh Podcast
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
And then I think basically we'll be fine.
Dwarkesh Podcast
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
But right now, that isn't kind of where the conversation is particularly.
Dwarkesh Podcast
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
Well, I think one of the things I often describe China as a very turbulent and very deep ocean.
Dwarkesh Podcast
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
So you skim along the top and you see the huge waves, right?
Dwarkesh Podcast
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
So all the stuff that's been built, all of the, you know, cities, the high rises, the industrial parks, the high speed rail and so forth.
Dwarkesh Podcast
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
And then you go below that and there's a very deep, still ocean of ideas, concepts, bureaucratic tendencies and so forth that have built up over centuries that in a lot of ways does not change that much.
Dwarkesh Podcast
China’s Manufacturing Dominance: State Directives & Ruthless Competition — Arthur Kroeber
So a simple example on this is how to make that more concrete.