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Azeem Azhar

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
6838 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What it will take for AI to scale (energy, compute, talent)

Now, I went into this in some detail in last week, but there's just one thing that I wanted to come back to.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What it will take for AI to scale (energy, compute, talent)

You know, there's a lot of uncertainty in this market right now.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What it will take for AI to scale (energy, compute, talent)

And it's amazing that such huge decisions are being made in the face of such uncertainty.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What it will take for AI to scale (energy, compute, talent)

One good example is that Arvind Krishna, who is the CEO and the chairman of IBM, was speaking last week and he said, look, it costs about $80 million per megawatt because in the last year, tech companies have started to think of their computing in terms of watts and megawatts.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What it will take for AI to scale (energy, compute, talent)

So $80 million per megawatt for a data center.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What it will take for AI to scale (energy, compute, talent)

Now, that's quite a high number.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What it will take for AI to scale (energy, compute, talent)

Most people were using a number that Jensen was talking about, Jensen Huang from NVIDIA, of $50 to $55 million per megawatt.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What it will take for AI to scale (energy, compute, talent)

A few years ago, a couple of years ago, a really, really high-end data center was running at about $20 million.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What it will take for AI to scale (energy, compute, talent)

Now, if Arvind's right, and perhaps he is, perhaps that's IBM's experience, that changes the payback economics quite significantly.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What it will take for AI to scale (energy, compute, talent)

Another thing I want to just bring up is that I talked about the middle of 2026 as being a really key point for evidence to emerge that this technology is more than helpful and seems to be quite positive, but actually is starting to deliver results.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What it will take for AI to scale (energy, compute, talent)

And I just want to unpick why the middle of 2026 is so important.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What it will take for AI to scale (energy, compute, talent)

It's important because ultimately, many companies really started their enterprise build-outs in early 2024.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What it will take for AI to scale (energy, compute, talent)

So the enterprise tooling from Microsoft and from Google was available in late 2023.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What it will take for AI to scale (energy, compute, talent)

You need to put a project team together.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What it will take for AI to scale (energy, compute, talent)

You need to hire external talent.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What it will take for AI to scale (energy, compute, talent)

You need to get going.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What it will take for AI to scale (energy, compute, talent)

So you might get started in early 2024.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What it will take for AI to scale (energy, compute, talent)

You should give an enterprise project a couple of years

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What it will take for AI to scale (energy, compute, talent)

time to prove itself as a pilot.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What it will take for AI to scale (energy, compute, talent)

And that two-year clock will start to be reached in the early summer through to late summer and early fall of 2026.