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Azeem Azhar

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
5487 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

But more interestingly, it has a ratio called PEG, which is price-earnings growth, of about 0.7.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

And the rule of thumb is that under one, you've got a company that's undervalued.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

Now, NVIDIA has a $500 billion portfolio.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

order backlog.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

So this whole thing is painting a picture of a little bit of confusion, maybe not a bubble, more of a utility that can't build power plants fast enough.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

And so we see this extreme dispersion in the markets, that persistent bubble bust anxiety.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

And I think what it comes down to is fundamentally

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

that the traditional capital markets are not well suited for dealing with this degree of change, uncertainty, and speed.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

The return profile of AI as this general purpose technology, as an invention of a method of invention, as an exponential technology is really orthogonal to the returns profile that capital markets look for.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

What they want is focused, understandable return on capital over a three to 10 year period.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

And yet with general purpose technologies, as it will be with AI, those gains are diffuse.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

They may be spread out across

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

the economy.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

They may be spread out across industries.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

They may accrue to the public rather than to things that private companies can benefit from.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

And the pathways may be indirect.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

And there may be great lags before profits emerge.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

So existing capital market apparatus doesn't price this kind of system level change.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

It prices firm level cash flows.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
The method of invention, AI's new clock speed and why capital markets are confused

This specific GPU cluster produces this specific revenue stream over the following years.