Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts
You're talking about looking at a thousand times more, which is a regime shift, right?
Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts
Even if the fundamental kind of economic organizational model remains the same, a thousand X is a regime shift, which means new behaviors emerge.
Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts
And some of the things that I see when I talk to businesses is, you know, a large part of them are doing the sorts of things we've discussed by automating data entry.
Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts
But what they've done is they've automated the horse.
Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts
They've automated the fact that they used to look at 10,000 pieces of data a day by humans and now they look at 10,000 by machines rather than saying, well, what if we looked at 10 billion and how would that change our business downstream from that?
Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts
I mean, you know, I feel that there's something there.
Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts
Oh, wow.
Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts
We've taken a big step back.
Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts
You've got to run around and get all your tacit knowledge written down and stuck in markdown files.
Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts
I mean, it's a really fantastic point and it shows how quickly the field is moving because no one was saying this a couple of years ago, right?
Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts
And your report came out before Claude Opus 4.5.
Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts
And Opus 4.5 has really changed the world, at least for certain early adopters.
Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts
It's particularly good at coding, for example, and it has absolutely cut into my sleep.
Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts
You can see my URA scores just collapse over the last month.
Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts
And I'm getting up at 4 a.m., I'm firing off a bunch of parallel agents, then I'm going for my walk, and then I'm coming back to see what they've done.
Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts
This year, we're recording this on January the 15th, I have written, or rather I've commanded Opus 4.5 to write about 10,000 lines of code per day.
Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts
So I'm up at about 150,000 lines of code according to some measure that I did.
Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts
I'm just curious about how that kind of capability jump changes the way you think people might behave based on what you had seen in this very, very extensive empirical study you conducted.
Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts
This is such an important point.
Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
Anthropic’s Head of Economics on AI adoption data, Claude Code, the burden of knowledge & the next generation of experts
So let me go back to before Opus 4.5.