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Azeem Azhar

👤 Speaker
6838 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What NVIDIA’s bet on OpenClaw means for the future of AI and your token budget

So the shift to reasoning models, that so-called test time compute, which started with OpenAI's 01, was really the start of the increase in the amount of tokens that we as end users would use.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What NVIDIA’s bet on OpenClaw means for the future of AI and your token budget

It changed the compute workload.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What NVIDIA’s bet on OpenClaw means for the future of AI and your token budget

What Jensen said in the last week is that as people move to reasoning models and using reasoning much, much more, they saw a 10,000 fold in the increase in compute demand from each user.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What NVIDIA’s bet on OpenClaw means for the future of AI and your token budget

But at the same time, usage increased 100 times.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What NVIDIA’s bet on OpenClaw means for the future of AI and your token budget

So that was a million fold expansion in compute demand in just two years.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What NVIDIA’s bet on OpenClaw means for the future of AI and your token budget

And again, hold that idea in your head.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What NVIDIA’s bet on OpenClaw means for the future of AI and your token budget

That's a million X in two years.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What NVIDIA’s bet on OpenClaw means for the future of AI and your token budget

What other market could go out and serve that?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What NVIDIA’s bet on OpenClaw means for the future of AI and your token budget

So the question to think about is, what does the next two years look like?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What NVIDIA’s bet on OpenClaw means for the future of AI and your token budget

Does it look faster?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What NVIDIA’s bet on OpenClaw means for the future of AI and your token budget

Or does it look slower?

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What NVIDIA’s bet on OpenClaw means for the future of AI and your token budget

The trillion-dollar backlog gives us the answer, tells us what NVIDIA's customers actually think.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What NVIDIA’s bet on OpenClaw means for the future of AI and your token budget

They think, at the very minimum, it's going to be the same, quite likely more than that.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What NVIDIA’s bet on OpenClaw means for the future of AI and your token budget

So in this changing market, as we move from a world where the compute is dominated by training and move to a world where there's a lot of inference, things do change.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What NVIDIA’s bet on OpenClaw means for the future of AI and your token budget

And at the end of 2025, NVIDIA acquired a company called Grok,

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What NVIDIA’s bet on OpenClaw means for the future of AI and your token budget

G-R-O-Q.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What NVIDIA’s bet on OpenClaw means for the future of AI and your token budget

It was founded by Jonathan Ross, who was the original designer of Google's Tensor processing units, which is Google's specialist chips for serving AI workloads.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What NVIDIA’s bet on OpenClaw means for the future of AI and your token budget

He'd done that roughly a decade ago, maybe a bit longer.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What NVIDIA’s bet on OpenClaw means for the future of AI and your token budget

And it was a big, slightly weird acquisition of about $20 billion.

Azeem Azhar's Exponential View
What NVIDIA’s bet on OpenClaw means for the future of AI and your token budget

People moved and IP was licensed.