Benham Ben-Taliblu
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
At the same time, you've had the Iranians congeal and dig in and double down on the 180 degree exact opposite, which is if America is saying zero enrichment, they're saying no, they want to retain enrichment at all costs. And under this scenario, until you have an exogenous shock, until you have more pressure, the only way you would get a deal
At the same time, you've had the Iranians congeal and dig in and double down on the 180 degree exact opposite, which is if America is saying zero enrichment, they're saying no, they want to retain enrichment at all costs. And under this scenario, until you have an exogenous shock, until you have more pressure, the only way you would get a deal
At the same time, you've had the Iranians congeal and dig in and double down on the 180 degree exact opposite, which is if America is saying zero enrichment, they're saying no, they want to retain enrichment at all costs. And under this scenario, until you have an exogenous shock, until you have more pressure, the only way you would get a deal
is if you have a massive collapse between the public statements of one side, which is at that point, not for strategy, but for face saving and ideology and domestic politics, and the private, acceptable, more narrowly circumscribed red line. So, unless America says,
is if you have a massive collapse between the public statements of one side, which is at that point, not for strategy, but for face saving and ideology and domestic politics, and the private, acceptable, more narrowly circumscribed red line. So, unless America says,
is if you have a massive collapse between the public statements of one side, which is at that point, not for strategy, but for face saving and ideology and domestic politics, and the private, acceptable, more narrowly circumscribed red line. So, unless America says,
no enrichment publicly and says yes enrichment privately or unless Iran says yes enrichment privately but no enrichment public and no enrichment privately and yes enrichment publicly, you are not going to get a deal from these two sides anytime soon. That is at the heart of the matter right now.
no enrichment publicly and says yes enrichment privately or unless Iran says yes enrichment privately but no enrichment public and no enrichment privately and yes enrichment publicly, you are not going to get a deal from these two sides anytime soon. That is at the heart of the matter right now.
no enrichment publicly and says yes enrichment privately or unless Iran says yes enrichment privately but no enrichment public and no enrichment privately and yes enrichment publicly, you are not going to get a deal from these two sides anytime soon. That is at the heart of the matter right now.
I think they should be concluding pretty soon, at least, you know, late morning, early afternoon, Friday afternoon. today.
I think they should be concluding pretty soon, at least, you know, late morning, early afternoon, Friday afternoon. today.
I think they should be concluding pretty soon, at least, you know, late morning, early afternoon, Friday afternoon. today.
But I do believe that, you know, the Iranians after round three and after round four, once they introduced, once the Americans introduced a technical team into those talks, their talking points and their spin, particularly when you contrast it with round one and round two, has become much more narrower, much more about managing expectations than about playing up the political win and the optics of round one and round two.
But I do believe that, you know, the Iranians after round three and after round four, once they introduced, once the Americans introduced a technical team into those talks, their talking points and their spin, particularly when you contrast it with round one and round two, has become much more narrower, much more about managing expectations than about playing up the political win and the optics of round one and round two.
But I do believe that, you know, the Iranians after round three and after round four, once they introduced, once the Americans introduced a technical team into those talks, their talking points and their spin, particularly when you contrast it with round one and round two, has become much more narrower, much more about managing expectations than about playing up the political win and the optics of round one and round two.
of having been seen as an equal, sitting even though indirectly, of sitting and talking with the Americans. So, I think they understand here that their stylistic strategy is going to be running out of substantive steam. That style has a substance of its own but it doesn't always get to replace substance.
of having been seen as an equal, sitting even though indirectly, of sitting and talking with the Americans. So, I think they understand here that their stylistic strategy is going to be running out of substantive steam. That style has a substance of its own but it doesn't always get to replace substance.
of having been seen as an equal, sitting even though indirectly, of sitting and talking with the Americans. So, I think they understand here that their stylistic strategy is going to be running out of substantive steam. That style has a substance of its own but it doesn't always get to replace substance.
And if they really do insist on these 180 degree drastically different red lines than the Americans, which are increasingly saying no enrichment on your own soil, then they are beginning to understand it. You see it in their commentary. You see it in their reaction to the new sanctions.
And if they really do insist on these 180 degree drastically different red lines than the Americans, which are increasingly saying no enrichment on your own soil, then they are beginning to understand it. You see it in their commentary. You see it in their reaction to the new sanctions.