Benham Ben-Taliblu
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
I'm sure the president and his team in Washington are going through, even right now, in the absence of the strike being dangled, all of those things with round five of U.S.-Iran nuclear talks underway or wrapping up in Rome right now. So, those are all factors that can impact and create push or pull factors. But ultimately, I would say, would the regime be shooting itself in the foot?
I'm sure the president and his team in Washington are going through, even right now, in the absence of the strike being dangled, all of those things with round five of U.S.-Iran nuclear talks underway or wrapping up in Rome right now. So, those are all factors that can impact and create push or pull factors. But ultimately, I would say, would the regime be shooting itself in the foot?
I'm sure the president and his team in Washington are going through, even right now, in the absence of the strike being dangled, all of those things with round five of U.S.-Iran nuclear talks underway or wrapping up in Rome right now. So, those are all factors that can impact and create push or pull factors. But ultimately, I would say, would the regime be shooting itself in the foot?
Because one fear that I have is they get a lot more by staying at the table. And if the only way the US goes militarily at the Iranians is if the Iranians are no longer at the table, well, then the Iranians can come to the table and just read a whole host of grievances. and filibuster and just kind of gain from the optics of being there without really providing any concessions.
Because one fear that I have is they get a lot more by staying at the table. And if the only way the US goes militarily at the Iranians is if the Iranians are no longer at the table, well, then the Iranians can come to the table and just read a whole host of grievances. and filibuster and just kind of gain from the optics of being there without really providing any concessions.
Because one fear that I have is they get a lot more by staying at the table. And if the only way the US goes militarily at the Iranians is if the Iranians are no longer at the table, well, then the Iranians can come to the table and just read a whole host of grievances. and filibuster and just kind of gain from the optics of being there without really providing any concessions.
That would make it a lot harder for, I think, the Trump administration to back an Israeli strike. And it also depends a lot on phasing. Would the Americans want Israel to go first, then America to play defense and then take out what is left? Or would the Israelis want a joint strike? Or would the Israelis want a retaliatory strike only in the instance of Iranians directly responding to Israel?
That would make it a lot harder for, I think, the Trump administration to back an Israeli strike. And it also depends a lot on phasing. Would the Americans want Israel to go first, then America to play defense and then take out what is left? Or would the Israelis want a joint strike? Or would the Israelis want a retaliatory strike only in the instance of Iranians directly responding to Israel?
That would make it a lot harder for, I think, the Trump administration to back an Israeli strike. And it also depends a lot on phasing. Would the Americans want Israel to go first, then America to play defense and then take out what is left? Or would the Israelis want a joint strike? Or would the Israelis want a retaliatory strike only in the instance of Iranians directly responding to Israel?
Or what if the Iranians ride in the fronts and go after US assets or the jurisdictions from certain sites, from where certain things were launched? Again, this is very much like a kaleidoscope. We know the facts.
Or what if the Iranians ride in the fronts and go after US assets or the jurisdictions from certain sites, from where certain things were launched? Again, this is very much like a kaleidoscope. We know the facts.
Or what if the Iranians ride in the fronts and go after US assets or the jurisdictions from certain sites, from where certain things were launched? Again, this is very much like a kaleidoscope. We know the facts.
We know the positions of people, but based on the context, when you turn it, that image turns drastically differently and there is as much politics in this question as there is policy in this question.
We know the positions of people, but based on the context, when you turn it, that image turns drastically differently and there is as much politics in this question as there is policy in this question.
We know the positions of people, but based on the context, when you turn it, that image turns drastically differently and there is as much politics in this question as there is policy in this question.
and that gives them top cover then to uh you know switch to the the military option i would honestly i would say it exists but it exists in the universe of it being a non-zero number meaning i probably put the chances of that in the single digits or very very low double digits
and that gives them top cover then to uh you know switch to the the military option i would honestly i would say it exists but it exists in the universe of it being a non-zero number meaning i probably put the chances of that in the single digits or very very low double digits
and that gives them top cover then to uh you know switch to the the military option i would honestly i would say it exists but it exists in the universe of it being a non-zero number meaning i probably put the chances of that in the single digits or very very low double digits
I think the president means what he says and he's been pretty clear at least on this front of he does not want the Islamic Republic to get a nuclear weapon but even when he was campaigning before term one, his whole thing was about making deals even in places where potentially that might not be possible or hard or feasible or where it may come with political constraints.
I think the president means what he says and he's been pretty clear at least on this front of he does not want the Islamic Republic to get a nuclear weapon but even when he was campaigning before term one, his whole thing was about making deals even in places where potentially that might not be possible or hard or feasible or where it may come with political constraints.