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Brad Gerstner

👤 Person
1234 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

We've unlocked power.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

We've unlocked capital.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

People are now able to underwrite to these deals.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

So first, I just think that this is incredible we have this level of competition.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

terms of Nvidia's ability to stay ahead of everybody else, listen, I think at the end of the day, it's power in and it's tokens out.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

It's perf per watt.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

I've talked to many CFOs of hyperscalers, and they said you could price the competitor chips at zero.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

Jensen said this publicly many times, price the competitor chips at zero, and it's still more effective and economic decision to choose Nvidia.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

And I think that's what it comes down to.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

They have to be at perf per watt because power is the constrained resource, going back to what Chamath said.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

Jason, I think you made a great point about total TAM.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

We see about $100 billion already in incremental generative AI revenue in 2026.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

That has to grow to well over a trillion by 2030.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

If you look at it on a top downs basis, $125 trillion growth,

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

global GDP, if you get a 10% improvement in productivity, that's $12 trillion a year of productivity improvements.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

If you get a 5%, that's $5 or $6 trillion.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

That's what's leading Masa and Sam and others to place these heroic bets.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

I don't want to get over my skis about what's been disclosed, but I think rumors out there is that they'll exit this year at over 20 billion run rate.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

I think there are a lot of people who think they could hit 50 next year and 100 after that.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally

So this, again, gets back to your point, David.