Bret Weinstein

And the problem is that the places where you're seeing people holding opinions that are preposterous and a level of arrogance that isn't justified by anything, those are complex systems. And a complex system is not just a really complicated system. A complex system is actually meaningfully different. It's fundamentally unpredictable.

And so I think a lot of the catastrophe— I'm sorry, can you say that again? It's fundamentally unpredictable.

And so I think a lot of the catastrophe— I'm sorry, can you say that again? It's fundamentally unpredictable.

And so I think a lot of the catastrophe— I'm sorry, can you say that again? It's fundamentally unpredictable.

It's unpredictable. You don't know. You don't know. And, you know, okay, so how good are we at predicting the climate?

It's unpredictable. You don't know. You don't know. And, you know, okay, so how good are we at predicting the climate?

It's unpredictable. You don't know. You don't know. And, you know, okay, so how good are we at predicting the climate?

well my guess given that climate is a longer term puzzle is we're less good at it than predicting the weather and i can tell you we're not that great at predicting the weather so when you step into the realm of the truly complex which is all of biology it's human civilization it's economics it's climate

well my guess given that climate is a longer term puzzle is we're less good at it than predicting the weather and i can tell you we're not that great at predicting the weather so when you step into the realm of the truly complex which is all of biology it's human civilization it's economics it's climate

well my guess given that climate is a longer term puzzle is we're less good at it than predicting the weather and i can tell you we're not that great at predicting the weather so when you step into the realm of the truly complex which is all of biology it's human civilization it's economics it's climate

You have to go in with a kind of extreme humility because intervention is going to produce effects you cannot see coming. Unintended consequences. Unintended consequences, which means, A, the last thing you want to do is go into that complex system with a blueprint. Here's what I'm going to do and here's what it's going to result in because you don't know. The best you can do is prototype,

You have to go in with a kind of extreme humility because intervention is going to produce effects you cannot see coming. Unintended consequences. Unintended consequences, which means, A, the last thing you want to do is go into that complex system with a blueprint. Here's what I'm going to do and here's what it's going to result in because you don't know. The best you can do is prototype,

You have to go in with a kind of extreme humility because intervention is going to produce effects you cannot see coming. Unintended consequences. Unintended consequences, which means, A, the last thing you want to do is go into that complex system with a blueprint. Here's what I'm going to do and here's what it's going to result in because you don't know. The best you can do is prototype,

and navigate, right? You can say, I wanna get to that place and you can take a step in that direction and you can say, okay, well, what was the consequence of that step? And then you can adjust what you did, what you do next based on what you learned the last time.

and navigate, right? You can say, I wanna get to that place and you can take a step in that direction and you can say, okay, well, what was the consequence of that step? And then you can adjust what you did, what you do next based on what you learned the last time.

and navigate, right? You can say, I wanna get to that place and you can take a step in that direction and you can say, okay, well, what was the consequence of that step? And then you can adjust what you did, what you do next based on what you learned the last time.

You can get where you're going in the same way that a surfer who can't control a wave is capable of, you know, finding their way down it, right? But you can't plan it out. And the other thing you can't do is you cannot decide that certain kinds of feedback will not be tolerated. Right? You have to take a measure of the consequence of what you did and look squarely at it.

You can get where you're going in the same way that a surfer who can't control a wave is capable of, you know, finding their way down it, right? But you can't plan it out. And the other thing you can't do is you cannot decide that certain kinds of feedback will not be tolerated. Right? You have to take a measure of the consequence of what you did and look squarely at it.

You can get where you're going in the same way that a surfer who can't control a wave is capable of, you know, finding their way down it, right? But you can't plan it out. And the other thing you can't do is you cannot decide that certain kinds of feedback will not be tolerated. Right? You have to take a measure of the consequence of what you did and look squarely at it.

And if you say, well, you know... The shots definitely worked because they were always going to work. The answer is how many different complex systems did you just intervene in and you weren't even open to the evidence that it didn't work out the way you expected, that it was counterproductive? No, you don't even belong in the discussion if you don't see the need to do that.