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Brian Levitt

πŸ‘€ Speaker
668 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Compound and Friends
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes With Brian Levitt

But financials, healthcare, and discretionary have seen losses year-to-date despite positive revisions.

The Compound and Friends
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes With Brian Levitt

She doesn't like that setup where expectations are ratcheted up, but multiples are not reacting positively.

The Compound and Friends
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes With Brian Levitt

And she has a point because that's sort of one of her bear market signposts.

The Compound and Friends
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes With Brian Levitt

She's got like these 10 things that are red flags and seven of them have now triggered.

The Compound and Friends
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes With Brian Levitt

70% of her bear market, which is the average that they've observed at prior market peaks.

The Compound and Friends
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes With Brian Levitt

So the comparison that she's harping on is February of 2000, which for you and I is very ominous.

The Compound and Friends
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes With Brian Levitt

Very ominous.

The Compound and Friends
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes With Brian Levitt

We know what went on then.

The Compound and Friends
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes With Brian Levitt

Last thing from her before I get your reaction.

The Compound and Friends
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes With Brian Levitt

So she is saying high PE stocks led low PE stocks by a wide margin, which is a sign of excessive speculation.

The Compound and Friends
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes With Brian Levitt

That's one of her triggers.

The Compound and Friends
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes With Brian Levitt

Another trigger –

The Compound and Friends
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes With Brian Levitt

Lofty long-term growth expectations, breaching levels consistent with equities being more vulnerable to disappointment.

The Compound and Friends
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes With Brian Levitt

So that's that last point I made.

The Compound and Friends
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes With Brian Levitt

The sell side indicator hasn't been triggered yet.

The Compound and Friends
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes With Brian Levitt

That's where the strategists get all bulled up.

The Compound and Friends
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes With Brian Levitt

But that has gotten worse because they're chasing the market, quite frankly, with their targets.

The Compound and Friends
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes With Brian Levitt

But she's talking about this dispersion, tech versus everything else, and then inside of tech.

The Compound and Friends
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes With Brian Levitt

like AI tech versus software or every other.

The Compound and Friends
Why the Knockout Punch Never Comes With Brian Levitt

And that is reminiscent of the peak of the market in February 2000.